LIU Brooklyn

Conference:	NEC
Expected RPI:	232.0
Current RPI:	232
Expected SOS:	315
Current SOS:	315
Current Record:	17-16
Expected Record:	17-16
Current Conf Record:	13-8
Expected Conf Record:	13-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	5-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	12-9
Current OOC Record:	4-8
Expected OOC Record:	4-8
Expected OOC RPI:	296
Expected OOC SOS:	317

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-16	232.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for LIU Brooklyn.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-10	Tulane (175.0)	Amer	A	102-96	L	0%
11-13	Fordham (290.0)	A10	A	81-68	L	0%
11-17	Miami OH (159.0)	MAC	N	74-78	L	0%
11-18	Hartford (198.0)	AE	N	84-86	W	100%
11-22	UMass Lowell (289.0)	AE	A	74-66	L	0%
11-25	Brown (298.0)	Ivy	A	94-86	L	0%
11-28	NJIT (269.0)	ASun	A	73-69	L	0%
11-30	Hartford (198.0)	AE	H	79-78	W	100%
12-4	Stony Brook (208.0)	AE	H	75-71	W	100%
12-10	Fairfield (180.0)	MAAC	H	72-76	L	0%
12-17	Saint Peter's (251.0)	MAAC	H	56-71	L	0%
12-22	Binghamton (320.0)	AE	A	66-74	W	100%
12-29	Fairleigh Dickinson (254.0)	NEC	H	71-82	L	0%
12-31	Mount St. Mary's (225.0)	NEC	H	71-57	W	100%
1-4	St. Francis PA (178.0)	NEC	A	85-68	L	0%
1-6	Robert Morris (196.0)	NEC	A	88-79	L	0%
1-11	Fairleigh Dickinson (254.0)	NEC	A	85-90	W	100%
1-13	Wagner (109.0)	NEC	H	69-67	W	100%
1-18	Bryant (341.0)	NEC	H	83-79	W	100%
1-20	Central Connecticut (263.0)	NEC	A	72-63	L	0%
1-25	Mount St. Mary's (225.0)	NEC	A	86-80	L	0%
1-27	Central Connecticut (263.0)	NEC	H	94-89	W	100%
2-1	Sacred Heart (321.0)	NEC	A	60-69	W	100%
2-3	Bryant (341.0)	NEC	A	71-84	W	100%
2-8	St. Francis PA (178.0)	NEC	H	83-67	W	100%
2-10	Robert Morris (196.0)	NEC	H	82-96	L	0%
2-15	St. Francis NY (276.0)	NEC	A	84-79	L	0%
2-17	Wagner (109.0)	NEC	A	78-74	L	0%
2-22	St. Francis NY (276.0)	NEC	H	81-76	W	100%
2-24	Sacred Heart (321.0)	NEC	H	88-77	W	100%
2-28	St. Francis NY (276.0)	NEC	H	73-50	W	100%
3-3	Fairleigh Dickinson (254.0)	NEC	H	78-77	W	100%
3-6	Wagner (109.0)	NEC	A	61-71	W	100%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

LIU Brooklyn's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

LIU Brooklyn's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against LIU Brooklyn.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
LIU Brooklyn	NEC	26.64	26.64	52.52	52.52	1.34	1.34
Wagner	NEC	5.67	5.67	74.07	74.07	2.73	2.73
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	5.55	5.55	38.46	38.46	-1.28	-1.28
St. Francis NY	NEC	5.53	5.53	38.46	38.46	-1.28	-1.28
Central Connecticut	NEC	4.18	4.18	43.33	43.33	-0.56	-0.56
Robert Morris	NEC	4.12	4.12	45.16	45.16	-0.40	-0.40
Sacred Heart	NEC	4.11	4.11	32.14	32.14	-1.47	-1.47
St. Francis PA	NEC	4.08	4.08	57.69	57.69	0.63	0.63
Bryant	NEC	4.07	4.07	10.34	10.34	-3.23	-3.23
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	4.03	4.03	53.57	53.57	0.29	0.29
Hartford	AE	3.43	3.43	62.07	62.07	0.83	0.83
UMass Lowell	AE	1.94	1.94	35.71	35.71	-0.56	-0.56
Stony Brook	AE	1.80	1.80	40.00	40.00	-0.36	-0.36
Brown	Ivy	1.77	1.77	36.00	36.00	-0.49	-0.49
Binghamton	AE	1.76	1.76	32.14	32.14	-0.63	-0.63
Saint Peter's	MAAC	1.75	1.75	41.94	41.94	-0.28	-0.28
NJIT	ASun	1.72	1.72	40.74	40.74	-0.32	-0.32
Fordham	A10	1.64	1.64	26.67	26.67	-0.77	-0.77
Fairfield	MAAC	1.61	1.61	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	1.61	1.61	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
Tulane	Amer	1.56	1.56	43.33	43.33	-0.21	-0.21
Maine	AE	0.37	0.37	13.33	13.33	-0.27	-0.27
New Hampshire	AE	0.37	0.37	27.59	27.59	-0.17	-0.17
UMBC	AE	0.33	0.33	67.74	67.74	0.12	0.12
Albany	AE	0.32	0.32	67.74	67.74	0.12	0.12
Rutgers	B10	0.30	0.30	42.42	42.42	-0.05	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.29	0.29	70.97	70.97	0.12	0.12
Vermont	AE	0.28	0.28	78.79	78.79	0.16	0.16
Iona	MAAC	0.25	0.25	60.61	60.61	0.05	0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.20	0.20	65.62	65.62	0.06	0.06
Quinnipiac	MAAC	0.19	0.19	36.36	36.36	-0.05	-0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.19	0.19	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
American	Pat	0.18	0.18	20.00	20.00	-0.11	-0.11
Duquesne	A10	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.17	0.17	19.35	19.35	-0.11	-0.11
Niagara	MAAC	0.17	0.17	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.16	0.16	23.08	23.08	-0.08	-0.08
Boston College	ACC	0.15	0.15	55.88	55.88	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.13	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Holy Cross	Pat	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	ACC	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Loyola MD	Pat	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Ohio	MAC	0.12	0.12	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.12	0.12	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
Monmouth	MAAC	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.11	0.11	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.10	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.10	0.10	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	ACC	0.10	0.10	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Maryland	B10	0.10	0.10	58.06	58.06	0.02	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.10	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	SEC	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	15.62	15.62	-0.07	-0.07
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	Amer	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
East Carolina	Amer	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.08	0.08	26.92	26.92	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Penn	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Denver	Sum	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Temple	Amer	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	37.50	37.50	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.07	0.07	40.62	40.62	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	Amer	0.07	0.07	78.79	78.79	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Longwood	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
USC Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	10.71	10.71	-0.04	-0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	B12	0.05	0.05	70.59	70.59	0.02	0.02
George Mason	A10	0.05	0.05	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	Amer	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	A10	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
FIU	CUSA	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
SMU	Amer	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
South Florida	Amer	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	Amer	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
VCU	A10	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	32.35	32.35	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Grand Canyon	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	20.00	20.00	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	20.00	20.00	-0.03	-0.03
Boston University	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	14.29	14.29	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	6.67	6.67	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	Amer	0.02	0.02	88.24	88.24	0.02	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	SC	0.02	0.02	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.02	0.02	24.24	24.24	-0.01	-0.01
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	SB	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.02	0.02	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.02	0.02	71.43	71.43	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.02	0.02	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Louis	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.02	0.02	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
UCF	Amer	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.02	0.02	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	Amer	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Elon	CAA	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	Slnd	0.02	0.02	10.71	10.71	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.02	0.02	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CUSA	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.02	0.02	82.35	82.35	0.01	0.01